There ’s a theory among some climatologists that say if Siberia has a heavy snowfall in October , then the easterly US will go through a particularly chilly and former wintertime . Low and behold , it wassnowing like crazyin Siberia last calendar month .
The lead advocator of the " Siberian Snow Theory " isDr Judah Cohen , a climatologist from MIT and Director of Seasonal Forecasting at Atmospheric and Environmental Research ( AER ) . He ’s been studying the human relationship between Siberia ’s fall nose candy cover and lead US atmospheric condition since 2001 and argues his anticipation are correct 75 percent of the prison term , Bloombergreports .
Research on the trend was published inEnvironmental Research Lettersin 2012 by AER , the University of Massachusetts Lowell , and the University of Alaska Fairbanks .
So how does it all work ? They found that above mediocre coke cover version in Siberia during October is strongly linked to trends in the negative phase of the winter’sArctic Oscillation , a pattern of climate variability in the Northern Hemisphere . During this negative phase of the Arctic Oscillation , the knock of wind that entrap cold air in the North Pole counteract , allowing the super - chilled Arctic winds to reach south towards the US .
“ This year , we have had this very text edition state of affairs , ” Cohen tell Bloomberg . As such , he thinks this wintertime is going to be a lot colder in the mid - latitudes than most forecasters are currently portend . He also tweetedthat his estimation suggest that the UK will experience a winter “ on the colder side of normal . ”
In fact , as December creep closer and closer , he sayshe ’s becoming even more surefooted the hypothesis will try out correct .
" Siberian Snow Theory " is not without its critic and doubters . As mentioned before , even Cohen concedes there ’s a 25 percent fortune the model could be inaccurate , due to a wealthiness of other factors . Nevertheless , climatologists are excitedly and nervously awaiting to see if the prevision of a immobilize East Coast US comes on-key . Only time will secern , it seems .
